Volta

Extending upon: What effect might border screening have on preventing importation of COVID-19 compared with other infections? – Considering the additional effect of post-arrival isolation

Abstract We recently described a simple model through which we assessed what effect subjecting travellers to a single on-arrival test might have on reducing risk of importing disease cases during simulated outbreaks of COVID-19, Influenza, SARS, and Ebola. We build upon this work to allow for the additional requirement that inbound travellers also undergo a period of self-isolation upon arrival, where upon completion the traveller is again tested for signs of infection prior to admission across the border. Prior results indicated that a single on-arrival test has the potential to detect 9% of travellers infected with COVID-19, compared to 35%, 10% and 3% for travellers infected with influenza, SARS, and Ebola respectively. Our extended model shows that testing administered after …

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